Hibernian FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 1
HIB
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 3
HIB
11%
18%
71%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
HIB
4 - 0
GRE
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
STM
0 - 2
HIB
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 1
DUN
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AYR
3 - 2
AIR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AYR
1 - 1
STM
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 0
AYR
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
QOS
4 - 1
AYR
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |