Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 0-8
Hibernian FC vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 1
RAI
76%
16%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 2
HIB
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MHE
2 - 1
HIB
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
HIB
3 - 1
FCL
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HIB
2 - 3
STM
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
4 - 0
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NEW
5 - 1
ASV
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
LAZ
42%
25%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 1
ASV
8%
19%
73%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
BHA
36%
25%
38%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |