HHC Hardenberg vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
HHC
0 - 0
KAT
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 3
HHC
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HHC
5 - 0
SPA
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 3
HHC
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HHC
0 - 1
ARC
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
RIJ
4 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
IJS
3 - 0
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 0
CAP
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 1
APE
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |