HHC Hardenberg vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MON
4 - 1
HHC
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HHC
1 - 0
IJS
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
HHC
2 - 0
RIJ
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NOO
4 - 2
HHC
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 0
HHC
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
ARC
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARC
0 - 1
SPA
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
IJS
2 - 1
ARC
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 3
EXC
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 1
SVZ
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |