HFX Wanderers vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
3º
38
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
HFX
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 0
VAN
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 14 | 51 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 2
PAC
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 2
HFX
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 1
VAN
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 15 | 50 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
YOR
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 3
YOR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
3 - 3
YOR
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 2
HFX
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |