HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
3º
29
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 2
PAC
33%
28%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 2
HFX
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 0
ATO
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
HFX
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
PAC
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
13 | 62 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
VAN
74%
18%
8%
|
13 | 74 | 61 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 5
CAV
16%
23%
61%
|
13 | 72 | 59 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ATO
3 - 1
VAN
74%
18%
8%
|
13 | 69 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
HFX
13%
22%
65%
|
12 | 63 | 51 | +1 |