HFX Wanderers vs Vancouver FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
3º
29
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 2
PAC
33%
28%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
YOR
0 - 2
HFX
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 0
ATO
33%
28%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
HFX
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
PAC
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vancouver FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
14 | 63 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
VAN
74%
18%
8%
|
14 | 74 | 60 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 5
CAV
16%
23%
61%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ATO
3 - 1
VAN
74%
18%
8%
|
14 | 69 | 55 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
HFX
13%
22%
65%
|
13 | 63 | 50 | +1 |