HFX Wanderers vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
8º
7º
24
6º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 45 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 33 |
5º
|
65% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
8º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
15.5% | 11% |
|
Eliminated
|
84.5% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 1
CAV
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
HFX
2 - 2
SLA
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 3
ATO
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 0
HFX
22%
25%
54%
|
66 | 20 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 0
HFX
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
YOR
3 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ATO
7 - 0
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |