HFX Wanderers vs Pacific analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
8º
7º
28
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 51 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 45 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 33 |
5º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
8º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
15.5% | 69.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
84.5% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 2
HFX
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
HFX
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 2
VAL
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 1
CAV
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
HFX
2 - 2
SLA
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAV
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 1
ATO
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 1
PAC
18%
24%
57%
|
73 | 23 | 50 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATO
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 0
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |