HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
3º
55
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 0
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ATO
2 - 0
HFX
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
HFX
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HFX
0 - 3
YOR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 2
HFX
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 1
VAN
71%
20%
9%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
FOR
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
YOR
1 - 0
CAV
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 0
ATO
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 2
HFX
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |