Heven vs Zweckel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ERK
1 - 0
HEV
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ERH
1 - 1
HEV
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HEV
0 - 2
RBE
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ROD
4 - 0
HEV
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HEV
1 - 6
ENN
31%
24%
46%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Zweckel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ZWE
3 - 2
RBE
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
ZWE
0 - 3
NEU
28%
23%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ROD
3 - 1
ZWE
81%
12%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ZWE
0 - 0
ENN
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ABI
3 - 1
ZWE
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |