Hessen Kassel vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
AAA
3 - 0
HES
38%
28%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
HES
1 - 0
ROT
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
STP
1 - 2
HES
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
HES
1 - 4
BWB
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
OFC
0 - 1
HES
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
WAT
2 - 2
DAR
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1985 |
HOM
2 - 0
WAT
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1985 |
WAT
2 - 2
AAA
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
WAT
0 - 1
USO
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
ULM
3 - 3
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |