Hessen Kassel vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
VIK
3 - 0
HES
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
FSV
4 - 0
HES
46%
23%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
KKA
1 - 1
HES
14%
21%
66%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
HES
0 - 1
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
HES
2 - 1
ERZ
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
FVB
35%
27%
39%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
WOR
39%
28%
33%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 2
SWM
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
SVB
2 - 1
MAR
39%
26%
36%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |