Hessen Kassel vs Erzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
SGB
2 - 3
HES
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
BAU
0 - 2
HES
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
HES
0 - 0
FRA
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
WAL
1 - 3
HES
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 3
HES
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
FER
1 - 0
ERZ
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ERZ
0 - 0
KKA
34%
25%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
BUC
4 - 1
ERZ
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
VIK
0 - 4
ERZ
62%
20%
17%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
FRA
5 - 0
ERZ
40%
26%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |