Hessen Kassel vs Erzhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
HUN
2 - 3
HES
11%
17%
73%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
HES
3 - 0
BUC
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 3
HES
18%
22%
61%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
HES
4 - 0
KKA
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
GOR
0 - 3
HES
18%
20%
62%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 0
EWM
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
DAR
4 - 0
ERZ
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ERZ
4 - 1
SVB
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
FSV
0 - 1
ERZ
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ERZ
3 - 1
WOR
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |