Hessen Kassel vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
ROT
1 - 1
HES
25%
27%
49%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
HES
4 - 2
BVL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1984 |
SCC
1 - 1
HES
27%
27%
47%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
HES
2 - 0
ROT
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1983 |
KÖL
2 - 1
HES
58%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1984 |
SAA
1 - 1
DAR
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1984 |
SAA
5 - 1
ROT
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1984 |
BVL
1 - 2
SAA
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
SVS
1 - 1
SAA
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
SAA
4 - 1
SCC
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |