Hessen Kassel vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
SAA
0 - 1
HES
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HES
0 - 0
BAH
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KAI
0 - 0
HES
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HES
0 - 0
AST
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 1
HES
28%
25%
48%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
HOM
2 - 0
SAA
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HOM
0 - 0
SAA
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ELV
3 - 1
HOM
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HOM
4 - 0
BAH
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SPI
0 - 2
HOM
25%
24%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |