Hessen Kassel vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAI
4 - 4
HES
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HES
2 - 3
FRE
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HES
0 - 2
EIN
38%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PFU
2 - 2
HES
23%
24%
54%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HOF
3 - 1
HES
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 1
KOB
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
4 - 1
HOM
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
IDA
2 - 0
HOM
49%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
HOM
1 - 2
WWO
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FSV
2 - 0
HOM
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -3 |