Hessen Kassel vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
15º
10º
59
1º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AST
0 - 1
HES
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
HES
1 - 5
STU
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 0
HES
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HES
0 - 1
BAH
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 5
HES
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 0
TUS
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
OFC
2 - 0
FRE
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
HOM
30%
24%
47%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 4
FRE
45%
24%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AST
1 - 2
FRE
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |