Hessen Kassel vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
HES
6 - 0
WEH
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
186
2 - 0
HES
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
HES
3 - 4
HOF
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
NUR
1 - 2
HES
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HES
0 - 0
SVS
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 1
F95
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2011 |
F95
2 - 0
RTV
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SGF
1 - 1
F95
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
F95
3 - 1
AAA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
KSC
2 - 2
F95
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |