Hessen Kassel vs Darmstadt 98 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 3
HES
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
HES
0 - 1
HEI
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
HES
2 - 2
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
HES
3 - 0
GRE
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HES
2 - 1
FRE
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
DAR
3 - 2
186
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
EIN
2 - 1
DAR
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 4
ULM
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
KSC
0 - 2
DAR
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
UNT
1 - 3
DAR
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |