Hertha Zehlendorf vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
4º
1º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
75% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TUM
1 - 1
HZE
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HZE
3 - 0
NEU
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SCS
0 - 2
HZE
14%
20%
66%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAH
0 - 8
HZE
16%
22%
62%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
HZE
0 - 1
VIK
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 1
RSV
21%
20%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TUM
3 - 2
SVS
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 1
UNI
27%
20%
53%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 1
SVS
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 2
LIC
10%
14%
77%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |