Hertha Zehlendorf vs Rostocker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
4º
1º
23
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
75% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 16.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RSV
3 - 4
HZE
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
7 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
4%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIC
1 - 1
HZE
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 3
ANK
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 0
OPT
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
4 - 5
TUM
26%
22%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
RFC
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 1
SCS
44%
23%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAH
7 - 2
RFC
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TEN
2 - 1
RFC
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |