Hertha Zehlendorf vs Optik Rathenow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
4º
1º
34
2º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
75% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DSC
2 - 4
HZE
14%
20%
67%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
HZE
4 - 0
TAS
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HZE
2 - 2
SVS
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TUM
1 - 1
HZE
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HZE
3 - 0
NEU
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
OPT
5 - 1
BRA
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
OPT
2 - 1
PRE
51%
20%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 1
OPT
87%
10%
4%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
OPT
0 - 4
VIK
9%
17%
74%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OPT
1 - 4
TUM
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |