Hertha Zehlendorf vs Optik Rathenow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
4º
4º
34
12º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
1 - 4
HZE
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HZE
1 - 2
DSC
86%
10%
5%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RSV
1 - 3
HZE
16%
18%
66%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HZE
0 - 1
SCS
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 3
HZE
21%
22%
58%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
OPT
5 - 0
MSV
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
3 - 0
OPT
65%
18%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OPT
4 - 2
FRA
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 0
OPT
25%
20%
55%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MSV
2 - 1
OPT
37%
22%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |