Hertha Zehlendorf vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
15º
14º
17
13º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 71 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 55 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 53 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 49 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 34 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 1
HZE
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HZE
0 - 0
ALT
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAB
2 - 1
HZE
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
HZE
0 - 4
HER
5%
11%
84%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ERF
2 - 0
HZE
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
EIL
1 - 2
BFC
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
CHL
2 - 1
EIL
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
EIL
0 - 1
MEU
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BAB
2 - 2
EIL
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EIL
1 - 1
CZJ
11%
18%
71%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |