Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemie Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
15º
14º
19
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 71 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 55 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 54 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 53 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 50 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 44 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 34 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 28 |
16º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
28.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha Zehlendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
MEU
2 - 2
HZE
26%
22%
52%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 1
BAB
47%
24%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
6 - 2
HZE
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HZE
5 - 0
ZWI
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 3
GER
69%
17%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chemie Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 0
BFC
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LUC
0 - 0
CHL
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MEU
1 - 3
CHL
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 1
BAB
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KÖL
0 - 0
CHL
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |