DFB Pokal 1/32
Global 3-1
Hertha BSC vs Wormatia Worms analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
HER
1 - 0
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
DTB
1 - 0
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
BYM
1 - 1
HER
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
HER
1 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
DTB
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wormatia Worms
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
BNE
1 - 2
WWO
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
WWO
3 - 1
FSV
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
FCH
2 - 1
WWO
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
WWO
3 - 1
FRE
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
BAU
1 - 3
WWO
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |