Hertha BSC vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AUG
0 - 1
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
AKB
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
FUL
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 3
S04
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WUR
0 - 2
BRE
7%
12%
81%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
WHU
1 - 2
BRE
37%
23%
40%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 7
BRE
3%
7%
90%
|
82 | 37 | 45 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 1
SEV
19%
22%
58%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |