Hertha BSC vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
BYM
3 - 0
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
HER
0 - 1
STU
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
EBT
3 - 3
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
HER
1 - 1
MSV
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
EIN
2 - 0
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 3
S04
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1968 |
HSV
5 - 2
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
KAI
1 - 0
BRE
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
BRE
3 - 2
HAN
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1968 |
BRE
2 - 1
NEU
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |