Europa League Fase Final 1/32
Global 2-0
Hertha BSC vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HER
2 - 2
WOL
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BYM
4 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
NKI
68%
19%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
ARB
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
EIN
0 - 2
HER
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
SFI
3 - 3
STP
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
BOH
3 - 0
STP
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
STP
2 - 1
ELF
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
STP
1 - 0
SLR
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
WEX
1 - 3
STP
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |