Hertha BSC vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
14º
6º
3
11º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 64 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 57 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 43 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 42 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 26 |
18º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 5
HER
16%
20%
64%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HSV
1 - 1
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
PAD
43%
24%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 1
HER
19%
21%
60%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
RTV
20%
21%
59%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
ULM
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAN
2 - 0
SSV
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SGD
1 - 2
SSV
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 2
SSV
24%
22%
54%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |