Hertha BSC vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
14º
5º
9
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 67 |
1º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 61 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 61 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
7 | 56 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 52 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 48 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 44 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 29 |
17º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
78.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 1
HER
19%
21%
60%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NEC
0 - 1
HER
47%
22%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
COT
2 - 2
HER
17%
19%
65%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ZWI
1 - 6
HER
6%
12%
83%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PSV
1 - 2
PAD
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BIR
0 - 5
PAD
21%
22%
58%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
DYN
0 - 0
PAD
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
VIK
0 - 1
PAD
22%
21%
57%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
PAD
13%
20%
67%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |