Hertha BSC vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
HER
0 - 2
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
HAN
0 - 4
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
F95
2 - 2
HER
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
F95
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HER
3 - 1
HOF
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
STP
5 - 0
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 0
FSV
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
KSC
2 - 0
PAD
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 1
COT
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |