Hertha BSC vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
BVB
3 - 1
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
HER
1 - 0
EIN
30%
30%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
HSV
2 - 0
HER
64%
20%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
HER
0 - 0
KOL
28%
29%
44%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
MON
2 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1990 |
MSV
4 - 2
ROT
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1990 |
KÖL
2 - 2
MSV
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1990 |
MSV
2 - 0
M05
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
SCF
0 - 2
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1990 |
MSV
4 - 2
HAN
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |