Hertha BSC vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1984 |
HAN
0 - 0
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
HER
0 - 0
DAR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
HER
3 - 1
OSN
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
USO
1 - 0
HER
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
HER
1 - 0
ULM
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1984 |
MSV
2 - 0
OSN
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
USO
0 - 1
MSV
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
MSV
2 - 0
ULM
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
S04
4 - 2
MSV
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
MSV
3 - 0
HES
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |