Hertha BSC vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
EBT
2 - 1
HER
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
HER
3 - 1
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1971 |
ROT
1 - 1
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
KOL
3 - 2
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
HER
1 - 3
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1971 |
MSV
2 - 2
OFC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1971 |
EBT
5 - 0
MSV
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
MSV
2 - 0
TAS
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1971 |
MSV
3 - 1
BRE
40%
28%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1971 |
KOL
2 - 1
MSV
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |