Hertha BSC vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
EIN
4 - 0
HER
92%
6%
3%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
HER
0 - 0
BVB
9%
15%
76%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
HER
1 - 2
HSV
9%
13%
78%
|
49 | 91 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1964 |
KOL
3 - 1
HER
94%
4%
2%
|
48 | 86 | 38 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
KAI
3 - 0
HER
83%
11%
5%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1964 |
HSV
3 - 3
MSV
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1964 |
MSV
2 - 2
KOL
30%
24%
47%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
SAA
0 - 2
MSV
34%
25%
41%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
MSV
3 - 0
S04
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1964 |
MSV
1 - 0
BRE
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |