Hertha BSC vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HER
3 - 1
PAD
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 1
HER
21%
23%
56%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
TEN
1 - 6
HER
3%
8%
90%
|
77 | 24 | 53 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
S04
1 - 2
HER
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 2
STP
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
RTV
2 - 2
M05
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
M05
1 - 3
BYM
5%
10%
86%
|
83 | 97 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
M05
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
M05
0 - 3
LEV
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AUG
2 - 1
M05
29%
24%
48%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |