Hertha BSC vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LEV
0 - 2
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
HOF
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 0
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
BVB
19%
21%
60%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
STU
1 - 0
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HOF
4 - 2
M05
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
EIN
3 - 0
M05
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
M05
0 - 2
BYM
6%
14%
80%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 0
M05
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
M05
3 - 2
STU
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |