Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Hertha BSC vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
HER
1 - 1
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1969 |
BYM
1 - 2
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
HER
3 - 0
S04
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1969 |
ROT
3 - 1
HER
35%
24%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
HER
1 - 0
HSV
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
NAP
1 - 0
JUV
47%
29%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
JUV
2 - 1
INT
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
JUV
2 - 1
USF
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
VIC
1 - 0
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
JUV
1 - 2
TOR
61%
24%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |