Hertha BSC vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
HER
1 - 2
SAA
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
HER
1 - 0
DAR
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
VIK
1 - 0
HER
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1989 |
OSN
4 - 3
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
HER
4 - 0
ROT
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
HOM
2 - 0
BWB
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1989 |
HOM
0 - 1
SAA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
MEP
2 - 2
HOM
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
HOM
1 - 1
OSN
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
SCF
1 - 0
HOM
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |