Bundesliga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 2-1
Hertha BSC vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 1
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
M05
37%
25%
39%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 1
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
STU
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
AUG
0 - 1
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
ROS
2 - 3
HSV
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
HSV
2 - 1
HAN
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ING
0 - 4
HSV
13%
21%
66%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SSV
2 - 4
HSV
23%
24%
54%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
HSV
1 - 3
SCF
25%
25%
50%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |