Hertha BSC vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1990 |
WAT
5 - 1
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1990 |
AAA
1 - 1
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
HER
1 - 1
EBT
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
ROT
0 - 0
HER
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1990 |
HER
4 - 0
SAA
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1990 |
HES
1 - 0
KÖL
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
KÖL
1 - 1
WAT
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1990 |
SAA
2 - 2
KÖL
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
KÖL
0 - 0
AAA
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
EBT
2 - 2
KÖL
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |