Hertha BSC vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
HER
0 - 0
DAR
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
HER
3 - 2
USO
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
ULM
0 - 0
HER
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
HER
3 - 1
WAT
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
AAA
3 - 0
HER
40%
27%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
KÖL
0 - 1
AAA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
ROT
2 - 0
KÖL
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
KÖL
2 - 0
STP
66%
19%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
BWB
0 - 0
KÖL
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1984 |
KÖL
2 - 1
OFC
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |