Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-3
Hertha BSC vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
BVB
3 - 1
HER
44%
25%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
OFC
1 - 0
HER
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
HER
2 - 0
STU
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
HER
4 - 1
NYK
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
MSV
1 - 0
HER
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
MAR
2 - 0
TNV
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
TNV
2 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
GAL
1 - 0
TNV
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
TNV
1 - 0
GAL
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
TNV
4 - 0
HIB
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |