Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
HER
1 - 0
ABE
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MUN
1 - 0
HER
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
HER
2 - 0
HSV
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
ABE
0 - 0
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ARB
0 - 1
HER
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 0
KAI
28%
23%
49%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
WOL
0 - 2
FCN
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 2
BYM
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
BRE
4 - 1
FCN
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
EIN
0 - 2
FCN
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |