Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
DAR
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
HER
0 - 2
KOL
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1978 |
EBT
0 - 1
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
HER
4 - 0
ESB
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1979 |
FCN
1 - 0
STU
35%
25%
39%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
FCN
1 - 0
MON
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 1
FCN
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
TEN
0 - 2
FCN
48%
22%
31%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
BYM
4 - 0
FCN
76%
15%
9%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |