Hertha BSC vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
65.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
HSV
4 - 1
HER
91%
6%
3%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
HER
1 - 3
KOL
24%
20%
56%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
HER
1 - 1
HAN
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
NEU
2 - 2
HER
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
HER
2 - 1
KSC
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1964 |
FCN
1 - 1
STU
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
NEU
1 - 1
FCN
32%
22%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 1
FCN
38%
23%
39%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
FCN
3 - 0
KOL
47%
22%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
FCN
1 - 0
BVB
66%
18%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |