Europa League Last 16
Global 5-2
Hertha BSC vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
HER
0 - 0
STU
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
ESB
2 - 1
HER
17%
23%
59%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
RTV
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 1
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
ESB
2 - 1
HER
17%
23%
59%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
ESB
4 - 1
KUO
61%
20%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
KUO
0 - 2
ESB
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
ESB
1 - 0
IKS
42%
24%
35%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
IKS
0 - 0
ESB
73%
15%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |