Europa League 1/32
Global 2-1
Hertha BSC vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
HSV
4 - 1
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
HER
4 - 1
F95
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
FCN
2 - 1
HER
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1978 |
HER
0 - 3
KAI
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
DAR
0 - 0
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
MAR
3 - 2
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
BOT
1 - 0
LPL
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
BER
3 - 3
BOT
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
BOT
2 - 0
LSO
46%
26%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1978 |
CVA
0 - 0
BOT
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |